NFL Updated Win Totals Best Bets, Odds & Projections: NFC Edition

The NFL season is just two weeks old, but we have already seen bookmakers make adjustments to several teams’ projected win totals. One of the benefits of making a win total future bet at this point in the season is that we have had a brief look at how teams really are.

Not just how they are on paper. Still, a lot more will happen as we progress and the bookmakers will continue to tweak the totals and the odds attached to them. Let’s take a look at some of the most notable adjustments in the NFC and make a few predictions.

Seattle Seahawks

Opening Win Total:             9.5 @ -110/-110

Current Win Total:  10.5 @ +123/-150

The Seahawks are off to a strong start with wins over Atlanta and New England. Their remaining schedule features a number of very winnable games including matchups against Miami, Minnesota, Philadelphia, New York Giants, New York Jets, and Washington. They must also play the Rams, 49ers, and Cardinals twice each as well as Buffalo. Winning 9 of their remaining 14 games is a strong possibility and definitely worthy of a wager at +123.

Green Bay Packers

Opening Win Total:             9 @ +120/-140

Current Win Total:  10 @ +118/-143

Like Seattle, a 2-0 start has forced bookmakers to make a minor adjustment to Green Bay’s win total. Also like Seattle, the Packers’ remaining schedule features several favorable matchups including games against Houston, Jacksonville, Indy, Philly, and Carolina. They have one more game with both Minnesota and Detroit who they have already dismantled to start the season.

They will also face Tampa, Atlanta, San Francisco, and New Orleans along with a pair against both Chicago. So, can they win 8 of their remaining 14 matches? That plus money looks pretty tempting considering how the team has looked coming out of the gate.

Detroit Lions

Opening Win Total: 7 @ -120/+100

Current Win Total:  6 @ +110/-134

Oddsmakers appear to have underestimated Detroit’s ability to screw things up. The Lions’ 0-2 start has been riddled with lost leads, crucial mistakes, and a complete lack of defense. Each and every remaining matchup will pose a massive challenge with perhaps Jacksonville, Carolina, Houston, and Washington being the only possible win scenarios. While they are bound to get a couple of lucky breaks, it’s hard to imagine them winning 5 games, let alone 6.

Arizona Cardinals

Opening Win Total: 7.5 @ -110/-110

Current Win Total: 9 @ +123/-150

Another team that has forced bookmakers to make an adjustment after starting 2-0, the Cardinals certainly don’t look like a sub-.500 team. In fact, they look like a legitimate contender in the NFC West. Detroit, Carolina, New York Jets, Miami, and Philadelphia are definitely favorable matchups while games against Dallas, Buffalo, and New England could go either way.

Even though they beat San Francisco in their only divisional matchup so far, they have not fared well against the rest of the NFC West in recent years. Still, it’s not too hard to see this squad winning 10 games and earning the plus money.

Minnesota Vikings

Opening Win Total: 8.5 @ -150/+125

Current Win Total:  7.5 @ +120/-140

Opening at a heavily juiced 8.5 wins, the bookies are now offering a season win total of 7.5 at plus money. That’s quite a swing. It’s not just that Minny opened the season with losses to Indy and Green Bay, but it’s the way they lost those games. Their defense has been putrid and Kirk Cousins and the offense have looked beyond shaky. Their schedule does not really feature any gimmies although Houston, Atlanta, Carolina, and Tampa are beatable. Well, their two games against the Lions are winnable too. Amassing 8 wins over their remaining 14 games is a tall order.

New York Giants

Opening Win Total: 6 @ -115/-105

Current Win Total:  4.5 @ -130/+110

Even playing in one of the weakest divisions in the NFL won’t help the Giants surpass their newly updated 4.5 win total. While their defense isn’t too bad, their offense has been a mess, and things are even worse now that Saquon Barkley is lost for the year. The remaining schedule isn’t going to do them any favors with the exception of a late November matchup against the Bengals. The plus money is just too tempting.

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