Montreal Alouettes @ Toronto Argonauts | Betting Tip (25-08-2019)
Statistical information, performance, best odds and betting tips for Montreal Alouettes @ Toronto Argonauts for CFL. Analysis with head to head comparison and forecast by football experts.
|Alouettes by 5.5 by|
|Alou -230; Argo +190 by|
Montreal Alouettes – Toronto Argonauts | Prediction, Odds & Tips
Expectations were not high for the Montreal Alouettes coming into the season, but they seem to keep finding ways to win when Vernon Adams is under center. After a disappointing loss to Saskatchewan (a game called early due to weather), they rebounded with an overtime win against Calgary.
But is there a chance they overlook Toronto? The Argonauts are not having a great season, but if the Alouettes do not take them seriously, they could be in for a rough night.
Montreal Alouettes vs. Toronto Argonauts Preview
If Toronto has been paying attention to how the season has gone for Montreal, it should be clear what they need to do to win— stop Vernon Adams. All four wins for the Alouettes this season have come with Adams under center.
To be fair, the wins are not all because of Adams. They have had some productive nights from the run game in those wins, and the defence had one of their better games of the season in each win. It as if the whole team seems to play better when Adams is in charge of the offence.
With how Toronto’s defence has struggled to stop anything this season, Adams could be in line for a career day against the Argonauts this weekend. But there may be some hope for Toronto.
Montreal’s defence is not one of the better ones in the league. Throughout the season, they have given up close to 400 yards of net offence and 26.5 points a game. Their pass defence is ranked last in the league and has given up 313 yards per game to date.
A good game by McLeod Bethel-Thompson could put Toronto in position for an upset win.
Montreal Alouettes News
This season has been marred with one pivot going down with an injury after another. But Vernon Adams has emerged as the breakthrough story of the season. Adams got his chance to play when Antonio Pipkin went down with an injury.
Adams has done well enough to keep the job when he is not having injury issues of his own. While his first start (against Hamilton) was a rough outing, he has come on strong since. All four wins for the team have come with him at quarterback.
“Some guys have that ability to help teams win. That’s one of his strengths. He had it in college,” head coach Khari Jones said recently about Adams, via WinklerTimes.com. “He’s got a good feel about him. The team feels good when he’s on the field. The energy he brings to the game is pretty impressive.”
But oddsmakers are not quite ready to buy into Montreal as a serious contender just yet. While their odds of winning the Grey Cup have gone from being a league-worst +1400 to start the season to +800, there are still five teams with better odds.
Toronto Argonauts News
There is not much for the Argonaut to hang their hat on so far this season. They enter Week 11 ranked last in net offensive yards allowed, points allowed, and rushing yards allowed. But they are only second to last in passing yards allowed.
When you give up 35 points a game, you better score a lot if you want to be competitive—but the Argonauts do not (16.1 points per game). However, there may be some hope for them entering this week’s game against Montreal.
Last week, against Edmonton, they scored 26 points. Bethel-Thompson had an efficient day completing 73.1 percent of his passes for 200 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Between Chris Rainey, Branden Burks, and Bethel-Thompson they ran for 139 yards.
Why is this significant? Because Edmonton has the best defence in the league. If they generate offence and score points against them, there is a distinct possibility they could be able to do so against Montreal.
Montreal Alouettes vs. Toronto Argonauts Head-to-Head
This will be the first game between the Alouettes and Argonauts this season. But from a historical perspective, the two have faced off 211 times since 1946 in the regular season. Of those 211 games, Montreal won 117 of them and Toronto won 91. Three games ended in a tie.
In the playoffs, the two have met 14 times with Montreal winning nine of them.
Odds and Predictions
As nice as it would be to see this be a competitive game, that is the last thing that this game will be. There is no reason to believe that Toronto is going to be able to slow down Vernon Adams and the Montreal offence even a little bit.
While Bethel-Thompson may be able to generate some yards against Montreal’s defence, but it is doubtful he will be able to keep Toronto in the game.
Take Montreal to win (-230), straight up and against the spread (-5.5). As for the over/under (54.5), with these two defences, this game could easily see both teams combine for 60+ points. Take the over.
Toronto supporters can get a better money line (+200) over at BetOnline.ag. Anyone interested in taking the under will want to go with their point total as well (55.5). SportsInteraction.com is giving Toronto +6 points.
Our Montreal Alouettes @ Toronto Argonauts Betting Tip:
The Alouettes are a team on the rise while Toronto is spiraling down. Montreal is going to win this game, straight up and against the spread, with ease.