Houston Texans @ New Orleans Saints | Betting Tip (09-09-2019)
Statistical information, performance, best odds and betting tips for Houston Texans @ New Orleans Saints for NFL. Analysis with head to head comparison and forecast by football experts.
Monday 9th September 2019
Spread: Saints by 7.5
Money Line: Saints -295; Texans +230
*Odds via 888sports.com
Houston Texans – New Orleans Saints | Prediction, Odds & Tips
Fans in Houston have been waiting for the offensive side of the ball to step and become a championship-caliber unit like the defence. But for that to happen, Texans head coach Bill O’ Brien will need to take the gloves off quarterback Deshaun Watson and let him loose (like he did during Watson’s rookie season).
After getting cheated out of a trip to the Super Bowl last season, the Saints will either come back motivated to get another shot or could struggle to get back on track after seeing their hard work get wasted last season.
Houston Texans vs. New Orleans Saints Preview
After the disappointing way in which their season ended last season, the Saints will get to start the season off against one of the better defences in the NFL, the Houston Texans. With the front seven, led by J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney, entering the season healthy and ready to play, the Saints offensive line is going to have its hands full.
But if they can give their superstar quarterback time to throw, Drew Brees could pick apart a Houston secondary that gave up 260 yards/game last season. Then again, most of the secondary departed via free agency, so there is no telling how good the Houston secondary will be this season just yet.
However, with a talent like Brees at quarterback, Alvin Kamara at running back, and Michael Thomas at wide receiver, it will be up to Houston to slow down the Saints.
Houston Texans News
The Texans had to address two things during the offseason if they were going to have any hope of competing in 2019. They had to address the offensive line, and they had to address the secondary—and they addressed both.
Two of their first three picks were offensive tackles and another tackle, Matt Kalil, was signed away from the Carolina Panthers. With the beating that Deshaun Watson has been taking his first two years in the league, not improving the line would have been borderline criminal.
If they can gel and provide Watson with a little protection, maybe the dynamic version of Watson that dazzled the league during his injury-shortened rookie season will reappear. If he does, opposing defences are going to be in trouble.
As for the secondary, that issue took care of itself with Trann Mathieu, Kareem Jackson, Kevin Johnson, and Kayvon Webster moving on. While losing Mathieu will hurt, the unit should be in good shape with Tashaun Gipson, Bradley Roby, Jahleel Addae, and Briean Boddy-Calhoun (good shape—not great).
The pieces are there for Houston, but the question is whether they will be able to stay healthy long enough to win some games
New Orleans Saints News
To make sure they do not get cheated out of another trip to the Super Bowl, the Saints needed to do one thing—diversify the offence. As productive and dangerous as they were last season, all teams had to do to slow them down was blanket Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara.
But with more legitimate weapons, the whole offence should open up and become even more dangerous—so they got a couple. Jared Cook should give Brees a nice, big target at tight end that he hasn’t had since Jimmy Graham was traded. Rishard Mathews was a good, inexpensive free-agent addition. But otherwise, they will need for one or two of their young receivers to step up.
Losing Mark Ingram hurts the running game. But the addition of Latavius Murray should help keep the running game productive without overusing Alvin Kamara.
A more diverse and dynamic offence will make it easier for the team not to be in a position where they are relying on a last-second play like they were in the NFC title game. But if the offence can’t step up and make a difference, their young defence may continue to evolve and get the job done themselves
Houston Texans vs. New Orleans Saints Head-to-Head
The Saints and Texans did not play last season. The last time they met was back in 2015, a game the Texans won in Houston, 24-6. Over the years, they have played against each other four teams with each team winning twice (and at home).
Odds and Predictions
Both teams have good offences, and both teams are projected to have good defences. But while we know that Deshaun Watson is capable of greatness, we don’t know if Bill O’Brian will loosen the reins enough for him to work his magic. Sean Payton, on the other hand, will give Drew Brees every chance he can to make something happen.
That will end up being the deciding factor in the game. O’Brien’s conservative nature will hold Watson back while Brees steadily picks apart the Houston secondary.
Houston will not get blown out of the water and could very well win the game against the spread with most books offering at least seven points. But if you think Houston can win straight up, you’ll want to take advantage of the +240 on them at Betway.com.
As for the over/under, even though offences often need a few weeks to work the kinks out, these two are good enough to cover the over (54).
Our Houston Texans @ New Orleans Saints Betting Tip:
Take New Orleans to win straight up but don’t be afraid to take Houston against the spread.