Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens | Betting Tip (2019-11-17)
Statistical information, performance, best odds and betting tips for Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens for NFL. Analysis with head to head comparison and forecast by football experts.
|Ravens by 4.5 by|
|RAV-210; TEX +180 by|
Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens | Prediction, Odds & Tips
Lamar Jackson has turned himself into a legitimate MVP-candidate in just his second year in the league. But to further build his case for the award, he is going to have to outplay another legitimate MVP candidate in Houston’s Deshaun Watson. Most will expect him to do so, but it is going to be easier said than done.
The Texans may be able to slow the Ravens run game down, but can their pass defence slow Jackson down enough in the passing game? Maybe—but maybe not.
Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Preview
If anyone was going to derail the Baltimore Ravens, most expected the New England Patriots to do it. But instead, the Ravens exposed the weaknesses of the Patriots. So, now the best remaining option to do so is the Houston Texans.
This will, of course, require the Texans defence to do something no one has really done yet this season—slow down Lamar Jackson. Once the Ravens accepted that he would need to lead the way in the run game, he has become one of the most dangerous offensive players in the game.
But if they can contain him in the run game and force him to throw the ball more, they may have a chance. Then again, with one of the worst pass defences in the league this year, they might now.
However, the Texans could just try to use a strategy similar to the one they used against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Lamar Jackson can’t score if he isn’t on the field. Leading the way will be their own MVP-candidate in Deshaun Watson.
But Baltimore’s defence is not going to be as easy to control as Kansas City’s was. So, to win, Houston may need their defence to step up and make a few plays.
Houston Texans News
For the Houston Texans, the challenge is going to be two-fold. Can they get their own offence on track and productive against a good Baltimore defence? If they can limit Baltimore in the run game, can their secondary keep Lamar Jackson from getting the passing game on track for the Ravens?
The Texans will likely try to use a similar strategy as the one that worked against the Kansas City Chiefs. To that end, the Texans do have the fourth-best rushing attack in the NFL (behind the Vikings, 49ers, and Ravens).
But the Ravens also happen to have a top-ten run defence. So, that will be easier said than done. However, the Texans are hoping Laremy Tunsil will be able to return to the lineup this weekend (which should help).
Houston may also see the return of Will Fuller to the lineup. If he does, the deep ball game will become a concern for the Ravens defence (which ranks 20th against the pass). The Ravens defence ranks 16th in the NFL in receptions of 20+ yards (32) and is tied for 7th in receptions of 40+ yards allowed (7).
Of course, that only helps the Texans as long as Fuller catches the ball and doesn’t drop it (tied for 7th in the league in dropped passes with four).
Baltimore Ravens News
The Ravens will enter the game on a high after destroying the Cincinnati Bengals last weekend but will have to guard against being overly confident against a good Houston team. Yes, Houston’s defence has not been stellar this season and will be without J.J. Watt, but they are good against the run.
Can the Ravens trust Lamar Jackson to win the game with his arm if they need him to? The Texans do have one of the worst pass defences in the league this year (29th; 277.3 yards/game allowed). He did well against another weak passing defence earlier in the year, the Arizona Cardinals.
But then he struggled to throw the ball against the Seahawks. Their unit averages about six yards less a game than Houston’s.
Then again, the Ravens run game has decimated other solid run defences (Patriots, Seahawks). What’s to say they can’t do the same against Houston’s?
Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Head-to-Head
The Texans and Ravens have not played since 2017 when the Ravens won, 23-16. Over the years, the two teams have only played just ten times, with Baltimore winning eight to Houston’s two. Houston last beat Baltimore in 2014 but has not beaten the Ravens on the road.
Odds and Predictions
This should be an excellent game to watch as two of the league’s best young quarterbacks face off. However, for Houston to win, they will need to play a near-flawless game as they did against Kansas City (for three quarters). They can’t rely on their defence to stop Lamar Jackson, and they have to score touchdowns—not field goals – when they finish off long drives.
While it is possible, it is hard to trust that they can.
So—how should you bet?
Take Baltimore to win (-210) straight up but take Houston to win against the spread (+4.5). As for the over/under, it will be shocking if this one does not cover the over.
Our Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Betting Tip:
A good case can be made for either team to win. But no matter who does, some points will be scored in this game. Take the over.