Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ Ottawa Redblacks | Betting tip (2019-08-17)
Statistical information, performance, best odds and betting tips for Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks for CFL. Analysis with head to head comparison and forecast by American football experts.
TD Place Stadium
Saturday 17th August 2019
Spread: Tiger-Cats by 3
Money Line: Tiger-Cats -150; Redblacks +130
*Odds via Bet365.com
Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Ottawa Redblacks | Prediction, Odds & Tips
Dane Evans is not in the same class as Jeremiah Masoli, but he is proving himself to be a good pivot in his own right. After losing a close one (to Calgary) in his first start, he led the team to an impressive come from behind win against the Lions last week. He will be facing another pivot looking to prove himself in Ottawa’s Dominique Davis.
Will one of these quarterbacks rise up and lead his team to victory or will it end up being a defensive battle Saturday afternoon?
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Ottawa Redblacks Preview
If the Redblacks think this is going to be easy with Jeremiah Masoli out, then they are going to be in for a surprise. Dane Evans will be making just the fourth start of his career and his third one this season. While he is definitely not the dual threat that Masoli was, he has been a capable passer hitting 69 percent of his passes in the last two games.
Ottawa’s defence ranks last in passing yards allowed per game (305.3) this season which could mean Evans could potentially have a career day against them. Having wide receiver Brandon Banks back (who made his return last week) should certainly help.
However, Hamilton’s pass defence isn’t much better (277.5 yards per game allowed). If Dominique Davis can get on track early with his receivers, the Redblacks could give the Tiger-Cats a run for their money. With a 3-5 record heading into the game, the Redblacks desperately need a win to keep up with the Montreal Alouettes (who are 3-4).
Can Dominique Davis catch fire and torch the Hamilton secondary? Or will the star of the day end up being Dane Evans instead?
Hamilton Tiger-Cats News
All of the prophecies of impending doom for the Ticats after losing Jeremiah Masoli are starting to quietly turn into glimmers of hope. Dane Evans played well in his first start a couple of weeks ago against a tough Calgary Stampeders defence. He showed progress in last week’s win over the Lions by leading the team back from a 14-point fourth-quarter deficit.
Last week it certainly helped to have Brandon Banks back on the field. Evans had no problem giving Banks credit, via TSN:
“He’s one of the best receivers in the league, if not the best. As you saw (Saturday), he’s clutch, too. When we need plays, he’s there, and I think the thing that helps him the most is we have other playmakers, too. They can’t just double him. If they do, we’ll just feed it to somebody else.”
The win over BC was the first for Evans as a starting quarterback in the CFL. But to get his second this week against Ottawa, he is going to have to continue to progress. Against Ottawa’s league-worst pass defence, that may not be too hard.
Ottawa Redblacks News
Things have not been going well for the Redblacks for weeks. With last week’s loss to Edmonton, they have lost five of their previous six. While some of them can be chalked up to not having starting pivot Dominique Davis in the lineup, they have not been doing well with him either.
Against the Eskimos, he completed 65.7 percent of his passes for a respectable 289 yards and a touchdown. But he also had two more interceptions giving him a league-leading 11 even though he has only played in six games.
Despite their struggles on offence last week, the Redblacks had a chance to win in the end. Davis talked about the loss after the game, via Canoe.com:
“This one hurts. We played a really good game, and it sucks we couldn’t come out with a W. It’s a lesson. You go through what you go through.”
They are still in a good spot as far as the playoffs are concerned since they are in the weaker of the two divisions. But they will need to start recording a few wins if they want to get in a better spot.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Ottawa Redblacks Head-to-Head
The Tiger-Cats and Redblacks have yet to play during the regular season this year. However, from a historical perspective, they have faced off 15 times in the regular season and playoff dating back to 2014. The Redblacks have won ten, including the last five games between them, to just five for the Tiger-Cats.
Odds and Predictions
The Redblacks play really good football when everything goes right for them, but that does not happen nearly enough for them. Hamilton being without Jeremiah Masoli is a plus, but Dane Evans appears to be up to the task of beating the Ottawa defence. Should he falter, his supporting cast is good enough to pick up the pieces.
Take Hamilton to win (-150), straight up and ATS (-2.5). Ticats supporters looking to give up fewer points can get (-2) at 888sport.com. A slightly better money line can be had at Pinnacle.com (-143).
As for the over/under (49)—take the over. Hamilton is a capable offence going up against a mediocre defence. If Davis can avoid the turnovers, the Redblacks should be able to put up a few points as well.
Our Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ Ottawa Redblacks Betting Tip:
Dominique Davis can’t be trusted not to turn the ball over, and the Ottawa defence will not be able to handle the Ticats offence. Hamilton wins and covers the spread.