Edmonton Eskimos @ Toronto Argonauts | Betting Tip (2019-08-16)
Statistical information, performance, best odds and betting tips for Edmonton Eskimos vs Toronto Argonauts for CFL. Analysis with head to head comparison and forecast by American football experts.
Friday 16th August 2019
Spread: Eskimos by 8
Money Line: Eskimos -360; Argonauts +280
*Odds via Bet365.com
Edmonton Eskimos – Toronto Argonauts | Prediction, Odds & Tips
It has been a rough season for the Argonauts, but they were able to get their first win of the season back in Week Eight, a one-point win over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. It required an incredible night by Toronto pivot McLeod Bethel-Thompson, but the finally got that elusive first win.
They may have a shot at making it two in a row with the Eskimos coming to town this week. While undefeated at home, Edmonton is 1-3 on the road.
Edmonton Eskimos vs. Toronto Argonauts Preview
While this may look like a game between two fourth-place teams, classifying it as such would not do the game justice. Edmonton is in fourth in the West with a 5-3 record, behind the 5-3 Stampeders and Roughriders. Toronto is in fourth in the East with a 1-6 record behind a pair of 3-win teams.
So, while neither is sitting pretty in the standings, a win could go a long way towards changing that. But it may be hard to envision the Argonauts pulling out a win since the Eskimos dominated them just a few weeks ago (26-0) in Edmonton.
However, the Argonauts will be riding a high after winning their first game a couple of weeks ago against one of the best teams in the league (Winnipeg). McLeod Bethel-Thompson had an incredible day completing 37 of 49 passes for 349 yards and three touchdowns as Toronto outscored Winnipeg 18-7 in the second half.
But while that was done against an excellent Winnipeg defence, the Eskimos defence is even better. Toronto’s defence (worst in the league in net offence allowed) will need to play another top-notch game against Edmonton’s high-powered offence (No.1 in net offence).
However, Edmonton has struggled on the road this season (1-3). Could those struggles allow lightning to strike twice for the Argonauts?
Edmonton Eskimos News
Edmonton has been one of the better teams in the CFL this season. But to move from being one of the better to best, they have to start winning games on the road. So far this season they are 1-3 with losses in their last two.
They were competitive in their last road loss, 24-18 at the hands of the Stampeders. But getting shutout in the first half and giving up a 103-yard kick return for a touchdown didn’t help.
Head coach Jason Maas doesn’t seem too concerned about their road woes, chalking up the losses to the challenge of playing in the league, via CFL.ca:
“It’s difficult to win in this league, period, and when you go on the road with circumstances – it’s excuses if you ask me – at the end of the day, there’s obviously a reason they call it home-field advantage.”
But with the best defence in the CFL and a good offence, the Eskimos should be in good shape for their road game this week.
Toronto Argonauts News
While it has not been a good season for the Argonauts, with the second and third place teams only having three wins going into Week Ten, they are still in the playoff hunt. From the moves the team has been making the last few weeks, it is clear they are going to try to bridge the gap with the competition.
A couple of weeks ago they traded the Roughriders for injured pivot Zach Collaros. They have yet to announce when he might play. But if McLeod Bethel-Thompson can replicate his last performance (37-49 for 343 yards and three touchdowns), they may not need to rush Collaros onto the field.
When asked about his performance after the win over Winnipeg, Bethel-Thompson had this to say, via TSN.ca:
“I let go. Last couple of weeks I’ve been getting in my own way. Tonight, I just got out of my own way.”
It will be hard for him to do worse than he did back in Week Seven when the Argonauts took on the Eskimos in Edmonton; Bethel-Thompson was 6-18 for 90 yards and an interception before getting pulled in the second half.
Edmonton Eskimos vs. Toronto Argonauts Head-to-Head
The Eskimos and Argonauts have already played once this season; Edmonton won with ease, 26-0. From a historical perspective, the two teams have faced off 97 times since 1949. In that time, Edmonton has won 52 games next to 44 for Toronto.
They had one game end in a tie.
Odds and Predictions
Yes, the Argonauts played well in their upset win over the Blue Bombers a couple of weeks ago, but Winnipeg deserves part of the credit for playing so poorly in the second half. That being said, Bethel-Thompson did carve up an excellent Blue Bombers defence.
But don’t expect him to do so again this week. Edmonton shut him down in Week Seven, and there is no reason to think they can’t do so again.
Take Edmonton to win (-360), straight up and against the spread (-8.0). Toronto fans and anyone skeptical of the road-Eskimos will want to take the points offered by BetOnline.ag (+9.5).
As for the over/under (49.5)—take the under. There is no way you can trust Toronto to score much, and Edmonton will likely score in the mid to high 20’s. If the half point makes you nervous, take the 49 being offered by 888sport.com.
Our Edmonton Eskimos @ Toronto Argonauts Betting Tip:
Edmonton does not have the most reliable offence, but you can rely on the defence. The Eskimos will win this game, straight up and ATS.